Archive January 2016
1/2 of today’s kinder kids will be unemployable in 2030 / 3AW, 6PR, 2UE, 4BC, ABC Overnights, Austereo, ABC Far Nth Qld
The Future of Education is such an important topic if we are going to set our kids up to succeed in tomorrow’s world and workplace and I’m glad to see the media agrees. Here are some of the radio interviews I did on the back of this recent media release including an extended piece for ABC local radio’s Overnight program with listener talk back :
“Half of all children starting kindergarten this year have no chance of getting a job in 2030, if we continue to educate them the way we currently are” is one of the findings in a new bold trend report exploring the world of work in 2030 compiled by Australian futurist, Morris Miselowski, one of the world’s leading business and education visionaries.
In 2030, 1 in 4 cars sold will be fully autonomous. Robots, Artificial Intelligence, Drones and Connected Cities will all be as ordinary as gas, electricity and water. Mobile phones, keyboards and mice will be relegated to museums and the notion of 9 – 5 Monday to Friday work will have given way to project and task-work done however, whenever and wherever it’s appropriate.
In 2030 the Australian population will have grown to 28,481,000 (23,972,800 today), against a global population of 8,500,766 (7,349,472 today). 1 in 5 Australian’s will be over 60 years old; the ratio of workers to retirees will 3:1 (5:1 today); the average Australian house will costs $3,000,000 ($658,608 today) and the average household income will be $275,000 ($145,400 today).
In 2030 India will have surpassed China as the most populous country on the earth; America’s global dominance will have waned and the world’s middle class will have risen from 2.1 billion today to 4.9 billion, 66% of whom will be living in Asia. It will be an era of lower global birth rates and of living longer and healthier lives.
In 2030 there will be too many human workers competing globally for too few jobs, with many of today’s routine jobs having been handed over to technology and in an ironical twist this new technology will be responsible for creating millions of new human jobs, tasks and careers.
This year’s kinder students will live to 120, work into their 90’s, undertake 2 simultaneous income producing activities at any one time in a lifetime of work that includes 6 careers and 14 jobs, undertaking tasks and working in industries that are yet to be discovered and if they are going to succeed in a 2030 world of work” they will need to create their own work, not apply for it”.
In 2030 Australian retention rates for completing Year 12 will be 90% (83.6% today), but there will no written exams to mark the end of schooling, nor a single university score required to gain entry to higher education.
“This is the world our kindergarten starters of 2015 will face when they enter the workforce, and it’s this world of vastly changed horizons that we must prepare them for” says Miselowski.
It will demand different of its workforce, as we see new careers rising including transhumanist designers, genome specialists, nano medics, machine linguists, gamification engineers amongst many others as well as the continuation of many of today’s trades and service careers, but what they do, how, where and when they do it will have all evolved – “nothing then, will be as it is now!” says Miselowski.
Today’s education system however, backed by well-intentioned but short-sighted educators and parents, is still underpinned by an archaic industrial revolution model of teaching dominated by the 3R’s (reading, writing and arithmetic – 2 of which don’t even begin with an “R”) that was right for an era where student outcomes, careers paths and choices industry were well-known.
In 2030 the 3R’s won’t work, they conspire to teach rigidity, uniformity, conformity and compliance. What today’s kindergarten students really need from us is to be inspired by the 3C’s of Collaboration, Creativity and Communication so that they can influence, innovate and change their world ahead.
So have a listen to some of these segments and then add your voice to the future of education:
ABC Overnights – Brad McKenzie – 21st January (31 minutes 44 seconds) – includes listener calls
3AW, 2UE, 4BC – Australia Overnight – Alan Pearsall – 23rd January (12 minutes 05 seconds)
6PR – Chris Isley – Monday 26th January (13 minutes 15 seconds)
ABC Townsville – Michael Clarke – 21 January (10 minutes 17 seconds)
Austereo WA – Anthony Tilli – 28 January (5 minutes 4 seconds)
As we celebrate Australia Day Phil Whelan of Hong Kong radio 3 and I looked back at some of Australia’s greatest inventions including:
The Boomerang 10,000 + years ago, it’s an oldie but a goodie and perhaps Australia’s first true invention.
Prepaid postage – 1838 – although postal services existed prior to 1838 the receiver had to pay for the letter or package, in November 1838 Australian postmaster James Raymond introduced the first pre paid postage service.
The Fridge – 1854 – Before electricity and long before today’s smart connected fridges, James Harrison of Geelong Victoria patented a liquid vapour compression system that allows gas to be cooled and liquified by passing through a compressor – the same principle, albeit much advanced, that’s used today in air conditioning and fridges.
Powered Flight – 1894 – Lawrence Hargrave strapped 4 box kites to a compressor air engine and flew five metres, to become the first person to fly a powered machine.
Feature Film – 1906 – The Story of the Ned Kelly Gang, directed by Charles Tait, running for 60 minutes and costing 1,000 pounds was the world’s first feature film.
Rotary Clothes Hoist – 1911 – The quintessential Australian technology was first patented by Melbournian Gilbert Toyne in 1911. This all metal clothes hoist that rotated freely in the breeze to dry clothes is the nostalgic favourite of every Australian and the thing most associated with a typical Ozzie backyard
Pacemaker – 1928 – Dr Mark Lidwell of Sydney’s Royal Prince Alfred Hospital and physicist Edgar Booth of UNSW devised and patented a portable apparatus that plugged into an electrical outlet. Its a far cry from today’s in-body device, but it is its predecessor.
Black Box Flight Recorder – 1958 – Chemist Dave Warren wondered how after a plane crash we might be able to hear from the pilots what was going on on-board prior to the accident and voila out popped the flight recorder.
Bionic ear – 1978 – Graeme Clark at University of Melbourne, fitted the first in-ear bionic ear.
Polymer Banknotes – 1988 – plastic notes, difficult to counterfeit, durable and robust were first put into circulation by Australia’s Reserve Bank in 1988, this technology has since been sold around the world and used by countries including New Zealand, Canada, USA, and Romania.
Wi Fi 1992 – The CSIRO patented Wi Fi technology and gave the world a first ever way to connect itself up without wires.
Google Maps – 2003 – Google Maps was a C++ program designed as an app by Sydney based Where2 Technologies and later sold to Google.
These are just some of the incredible inventions that have an Aussie heritage and I’m really looking forward to seeing what makes the list of new inventions in 2016 and beyond.
Have a listen to this segment now (15 minutes 50 seconds) and then add your favourite to the list of great Aussie inventions.
A glimpse at the way we will live, work and educate in 2030 / Peter Switzer Sky News TV, ABC Far North
- Australian population will have grown to 28,481,000 (23,972,800 today)
- 1 in 5 Australian’s will be over 60 years old
- the ratio of workers to retirees will be 3:1 (5:1 today)
- the average Australian house will cost $3,000,000 ($658,608 today)
- the average household income will be $275,000 ($145,400 today).
- global population will be 8,500,766 (7,349,472 today)
- India will have surpassed China as the most populous country on the earth
- America’s global dominance will have waned
- the world’s middle class will have risen from 4.9 billion (2.1 billion today)
- 66% of the new middle class will be living in Asia
- lower global birth rates
- life expectancy increases
- healthier lives
- Australian retention rates for completing Year 12 will be 90% (83.6% today)
- There will no written exams to mark the end of schooling, nor a single university score required to gain entry to higher education
- Learning institutions will be hubs, bringing together students, educators, industry and others to provide learning opportunities
- There will be an increased emphasis on global qualifications
- Universities and higher education will be vastly different, offering bespoke one-off qualifications and a mixture of modalities and physical and virtual opportunities to study
- Nano-degrees will exist to teach, assess and accredit specific one-off skills learnt in real-time as, where and when needed will be the norm
- Students work, understanding and proficiency will be monitored and assisted in real-time by LMS (Learning Management Systems) that will 24/7 assist human classroom teachers, providing unique instructions, examples and assessment for each student
- 1 in 4 cars sold will be fully autonomous
- Robots, Artificial Intelligence, Drones and Connected Cities will all be as ordinary as gas, electricity and water.
- Mobile phones, keyboards and mice will be relegated to museums
- there will be too many human workers competing globally for too few jobs
- 9 – 5 Monday to Friday work will have given way to project and task-work done however, whenever and wherever it’s appropriate
- many of today’s routine jobs will have been handed over to technology
- in an ironical twist this new technology will be responsible for creating millions of new human jobs, tasks, careers and industries.
- This year’s kinder students will live to 120
- work into their 90’s
- undertake 2 simultaneous income producing activities, or more, at any one time
- have 6 careers and 14 jobs
- complete tasks and work in industries that are yet to be discovered
- will need to create their own work, not apply for it
These were just some of the insights that James Daggar-Nickson host of Peter Switzer’s Sky Business TV and I chatted about, as well as the economic, political and human ramifications of this new world that is only 15 years away and Phil Staley of ABC Radio’s Far North Queensland and I picked up in our next regular on-air catch up.
Watch this TV segment (recorded 25th January 2016) and / or listen to the radio interview below (recorded 1st February 2016) and then add your thoughts to what we may see in 2030.
Listen to the interview with Phil Staley ABC Radio Far North – 1st February 2016 (19 minutes 22 seconds)
#CES2016 – the 6 trends that will dominate the year ahead ( #2016trends ) / Austereo, ABC Local, ABC Far North
CES (Consumer Electronic Show) 2016, Nerdvana, has ended for another year and Las Vegas has said goodbye to 170,000 visitors and 3,631 exhibitors all itching to get a glimpse of the year ahead in tech gadgets and retail offerings and also looking for the dots to connect to figure out what’s lies further ahead.
There were a number of clear categories this year and in this weeks regular ABC and Austereo radio segments I explored some of these and also what may be next and after next.
The overriding theme for me this year was that we have crossed over the threshold away from having and owning to using and doing.
This new ambient state of being assumes technology exists and is readily available, just like electricity, gas and water, which means we no longer get as excited about the form factor of it anymore and instead it’s all about the experience – what can it do to make my life more interesting, easier or better.
So here are my top 6 CES trends and what they mean to you…
1. Cars of the Future – this display has gone from a garage sized hall a few years ago, to a mega display that brings many of the existing automotive players to town and even more interestingly the “wannabees’ like Apple and Google as well. No surprise cars are going autonomous eventually, but on the road to autonomy will be a whole heap of interesting incremental changes including electric cars, cars that park themselves, everything connected cars including Apple Car Play and Android Auto and every third-party provider of new shiny auto industry toys.
Get set for the biggest revolution in cars since we first saw them on our roads just over 100 years ago.
2. Virtual Reality – this year marks the beginning of this new retail category and is definitely 2016’s Christmas stocking stuffer. Manufacturers including Samsung, Sony, Occulus Rift and others have brand new shiny headsets being released in the first half of this year, with pricing ranging from $30 – $600.These digital magical carpets will allow you temporarily escape the physical world and enter a “world of pure imagination”. For the first time you’ll be able to experience the internet, touch knowledge and feel facts as your mind and a headset takes you anywhere to experience anything without your body ever leaving home.
As great as Virtual Reality is Augmented Reality will eventually be the bigger industry and dominant technology, because long-term we don’t really want to walk around in a completely artificial digital world with the real world hidden away, what we want is for both the real and virtual worlds to co-exist.
3. Drones – last year seemed to be dominated by them, but wait there’s more. We’ll be droning about drones for at least another year as the CES goes wild for drones with ever conceivable and even some far-fetched drone uses including a manned drone available from Ehang capable of taking a single person up between 350 metres and 3 kilometres for a flight length of 23 minutes, but before you get too excited you’ll need 2 things, first $250,000 and second to get a government authority anywhere on earth to let you fly it.
This year we’ll see and hear lots of companies like Australia Post, Amazon, Pizza Hut and others trialing this delivery tech and eventually one of them might make it work, but there’s still a tonne of government regulation to get through and business models to prove.
4. Video Streaming – one of the larger breakout sections this year was video streaming pushed along by Netflix’s announcement to extend their services to 170 additional countries. This year we’ll see You Tube try to step up to the commercial video streaming plate, as well as see new tech including 4K and 360 degree videos and virtual reality.
Behind all of this is the forever fracturing of free to air and centralised content distribution.
It is now about whatever, whenever and on whichever device, as the tower of Babel falls and the world becomes a universal always-on TV set pulling content from everywhere and making it available to evrybody.
5. Smart Homes – The world of science fiction is fast becoming science fact as the world of objects steadily connect themselves to the internet and Internet of Things appliances abound. Samsung announced their new smart fridge and it seems every other stand boasted about its tech’s ability to remotely and intuitively turn things on and off and open and shut for you.
Give it a few years and this tech will seem as ordinary as social media is today.
6. Personal Robots – I’ve been waiting for this one since I read my first sci-fi novel, watched the Jestons and saw my first Star Trek episode, we may not yet be at the human looking android robot stage yet, but this year we will see the first retail available set of personal robots ranging from those that do not move at all but do speak and interact with you, to those that have some moving parts, to those that zip around your home.
This is early days for this industry sector and it is not so much this years offerings that excite me, but the possibilities of what the next few generations of robots might be and do.
As always lots more to talk about and in these on air radio segments I cover the CES in more detail, so have a listen now..
Phil Staley – ABC Far North – 18 Jan 2016 – (17 minutes 55 seconds)
Glynn Greensmith – ABC Local – It’s Just Not Cricket – 16 Jan 2016 – (17 minutes 0 seconds)
Anthony Tilli – Southern Cross Austereo – 11 Jan 2016 – (6 minutes 16 seconds)
What’s an old Mercedes-Benz worth? 50 cases of wild turkey bourbon (or about $16,500 @ 6 bottles per carton x $55 each), if you’re selling it on one of the many beer economy Facebook secret groups that are springing up.
A Facebook secret group is an invite only collection of people usually around a common interest like religion, politics, causes, education, schools, hobbies, interests, local community etc and in this growing digital trend numerous secret groups have sprung up in every state of Australia blending secret groups with the collaboration economy philosophy to pay for services and products with alcohol.
The ATO of course is not happy, nor are the various Liquor Licencing Boards which see it as sale of alcohol without a licence, but apart from this you can get your house painted, car fixed, dog walked, groceries bought or anything else you can think of by offering to pay for it in liquor, and if you’re not to sure if you’re offering enough grog, don’t worry many groups use the wonderful quote from the film The Castle “your dreamin'” to let you know you’re way of price.
These groups seem to have been spurred on by the 2010 Toohey’s TV commercial, in which chores and jobs were quoted in cases of beer
A really interesting spin of an age-old habit of paying for things with alcohol, that dates back to our earliest Australian settlers being paid in rum for their work and long before that with numerous examples of alcohol being used for currency in civilizations throughout the millenniums and even seen as recently as last year on Channel 9’s The Block where to get things done often the contestants would pay in beer (and I’m sure those who accepted the slabs will include them as income earned in this years tax return).
Listen now to my chat with ABC Local’s Fi Poole (6 mins 41 secs) and then let me know (I promise not to tell) which secret Facebook sites you belong to.
The sad and unexpected passing of David Bowie’s has to be part of this weeks news cycle, and apart from his incredible musical legacy and his being the soundtrack of my life, we explored the ability that in today’s open and leaky digital world, where we believe everybody knows everything about everybody, that it still possible to keep a secret and keep it for a long time.
Phil of radio HK3 also reflected that when he first heard the news on Twitter he didn’t trust it, thinking it may be a horrible hoax and waited for the BBC confirmation before broadcasting it.
This led us to explore the veracity of online and offline news sources, who believes what about which source and to explore Twitter’s ever-growing role as the news tool of choice for CEO’s around the globe, the British Royal Family, the Pope and many others through which first announcements and breaking news stories are made, which will then find their way into traditional media outlets and the way that narrative, language, grammar and structure changes across the various on and off-line media.
The reality of today’s world is really no different from what it always has been, we can still choose what we say, to whom, where and when and that the philosophy that you shouldn’t say anything online that you wouldn’t go down to the local market and shout still holds up.
As always communication starts with understanding the person you want to communicate to, knowing where she or he hangs out, what they’re listening to and trust and only then choosing the appropriate media and messages style to deliver the message.
Have a listen now (15 minutes 46 seconds)…
and here’s my favourite David Bowie song Space Oddity, I first heard it when I was really young and have loved it ever since.
Who can resist a talking smart fridge, not Glynn Greensmith of ABC’s It’s Just Not Cricket, who in one of our increasingly regular chats wanted to explore Samsung’s smart fridge on display at this years CES (Consumer Electronic Show) in Las Vegas.
For decades we’ve been promised an “all-knowing” smart fridge that lets you what it has inside of it and what it needs and this year we’ve seen the release of Samsung’s 3rd attempt at creating this with its AU$6,860 four door, 54.6cm gorilla glass touchscreen panel Chef Collection Fridge.
This offering will one day be hooked up with Amazon’s Alexa cloud connected Artificial Intelligence (AI) assistant (although most probably not for another 12 months or so – even though it seems like a couple of simple lines of coding could do it now) to give you voice and additional smarts.
The voice activation coupled with the large screen would let you say “Alexa, check the milk” or “Alexa, play my favourite song, or “Alexa find me a You Tube on how to make chocolate biscuits” and off it goes.
Off site you use your phone app to look inside your virtual fridge to see what you have and don’t have. This is done by the fridge using a set of internal cameras to snap a shot of your contents each time you close the fridge door.
Additional soon to be features will add Pandora for music streaming, Sticki for shared family calendars and the ability to hook your fridge to a smart TV and all things internet.
In some limited geographies you’ll also be able to use MasterCard grocery to directly purchase from your fridge and Instacart to order groceries direct from WholeFoods.
Although this tech is not quite there, it is a hint of what’s to come. Samsung is well on the way to fulfilling its promise to make all of its products “Internet of Things” ready by 2020, manufacturers and suppliers are beginning to explore the possibilities and consumers are slowly warming to the idea.
Lots more to cover at CES so be listening next week as I do a wrap up on all things CES 2016, but for now have a listen to this segment (11 minutes 26 seconds).
Mark Zuckerberg has come in for a lot of heat in the last week for his Free Basics a project announced last year to provide free internet access to developing nations.
In a Times of India op-ed piece Zuckerberg explained this initiative using the example of “a farmer named Ganesh, who would be able to find weather information and prepare for monsoons, look up commodity prices to get better deals, and invest in new crops and livestock” in response to which he received a tirade of negative comments likening him and Free basics to the imperialist British rule of India in believing that he knows what’s best for farmer Ganesh and in believing that he is providing him with everything he could possibly need.
The underlying furor is that Free Basics does provide free internet access, but the sites that can be accessed through it are limited, controlled by the sponsors, and currently do not allow access to sites like Google, but does give unfettered access to Facebook.
For me the debate goes beyond net neutrality to an age-old debate of imperialism where “to the victor belong the spoils“ and the provider, benefactor, conqueror, patron or whoever it may have been, has throughout history, been allowed to set the rules and the boundaries, this doesn’t mean it has to continue to be this way, or that it is or ever has been right or just.
Zuckerberg and others are on a noble quest to provide internet access to all and those that are receiving free internet are entitled to be disappointed if they are not getting what they thought they might, but to me this argument is an interesting spin on a days of yore belief that saw nations battle others nations with an understanding that when physical lands were conquered the victor imposed their will, laws and sovereignty on the vanquished, is today’s equivalent of conquering digital land and imposing will, laws and access rights on them not exactly the same?
This as well as Mark Zuckerberg’s other media piece this week about his desire to build himself a personal robot and a catch up on all the other tech news of the week were all part of my regular weekly catch up with radio Hong Kong 3’s Phil Whelan, so have a listen now (13 minutes 12 seconds) and then add your comments.
Australian elections, Olympic games, leap year, personal robots, drones, artificial intelligence, toasters talking to fridges, cars that drive themselves, and so much more are going to be a part of a 2016 and on this first morning of this brand new year I caught up with 6PR Perth and ABC Canberra’s breakfast shows to chat all things new, shiny and different.
Click here for my 2016 predictions, have a listen to these two segments and then share your predictions for 2016.
ABC Canberra – 1st January 2016 (13 minutes 52 seconds)
6PR Perth – 1st January 2016 (10 minutes 51 seconds)