Archive June 2016
What will turning 50 mean for work, play, health, housing, and saving enough to live on? In just a few years from now, let alone ten or 20 years from now! Our regular Futurist Morris Miselowski came in to give us an insight in to what we should expect.
On the back of a media release put out by Gary Morgan’s CEO Michelle Levine, exploring the notion of Canberra and Canberran’s being too isolated from real Australian’s to offer effective government and instead suggesting that Canberra and its 150,000 public servants be packed up and moved to Adelaide, Sonya Feldoff of ABC Adelaide wanted to explore this with Michelle and asked me to join the on-air debate.
My first response was it isn’t real and doesn’t make sense, but Michelle was adamant and saw great merit in getting the relocation experts in and suggested Adelaide because it is in dire need of job stimulus and new direction. As interesting as this idea is, the one thing I’m sure you would pack into your official government boxes along with all your furniture and files is your government way of being.
The public service and bureaucracy seem to be the same the world over regardless of how central of isolated how large or how small, how efficient or inefficient, how transparent or corrupt, they all seem to develop their own code of silence, their own way of being and their own unique approach to interacting with the world and those they serve.
Physically moving people may change the view from their window, but it will not change their view of the world.
Red tape, strange decisions and a them and us mentality will surely follow wherever they go.
If we play this strange what if scenario out to its preposterous conclusion, what happens to the people who remain in Canberra after the move and are we not setting Canberra up as the next lost ghetto.
My preference instead of moving Canberra is to explore a new way of getting Canberran’s and public servants to engage with the world, to look at tomorrow’s landscape of employment, Artificial Intelligence, Robots and other horizon landscapes and ask to do we need public servants long-term, what is the purpose and role of governments in tomorrow’s world and perhaps a hyperloop or fast train allowing Canberran’s quicker access to the outside world and the outside world to it, might just give them a different perspective on the world ahead.
Lots of caller interest, a lively debate (22 minutes 35 seconds), well worth a listen and then let me know your thoughts on the debate.
The reality is we will soon be capable of living to 100, our kids to 120 and our grand kids to 150, the world that this will happen in is literally at our doorsteps and in this new era of human longevity, we are going to have re imagine and re purpose who we are and what we do.
In this week’s segment we explore this new human era of longevity, the notion of working to 80 years and beyond, the retirement dilemma which will see us need to work longer both for income and for mental stimulation and all of this on a global back drop of another 3 billions more people on the planet by 2050, 15 million more in Australia, a worldwide change in work practices away from 9-5 to project and task and a growing middle class of consumers all placing new strains, issues and possibilities on our planet and on our lives.
How will we cope? How will we work? How will we live? These are just some of the issues we look at in this weeks segments.
Have a listen now and then share your thoughts on this brave new frontier.
Kier Shorey, ABC Far North (7 minutes 20 seconds)
Anthony Tilli, Austereo, (2 minutes 26 seconds)
The impact of technology on transport, labour and recreation is often speculated on, with hoverboards, robots and Mars holidays forecast for the near future. So how does the world of property look?
Why it matters
Visualise what’s coming with these seven predictions for the housing market, and start thinking ahead.
In real estate, what happens next? Predictions that could change everything
If you believe the movies, there are only a few things we can all see coming in the future. Things like hoverboards, flying cars, robot enemies and holidays on Mars. However, one thing we can’t agree on is what’s around the corner in real estate. Everyone is a speculator.
Providing one such vision is business futurist Morris Miselowski, who has made a career of analysing tech trends and advising businesses across industries on how to future-proof their business. As a global business futurist who speaks, consults and broadcasts on what comes next and “beyond next”, his clients include some of the biggest names in the Australian business and government landscape. One of his areas of expertise is the way that we live, work and house ourselves in the future.
A brave new world
We’re sorry to say, the Australian dream of a house on a quarter acre block is dead, Miselowski argues, or rather it will be. Skyscrapers will emerge in the suburbs. As the Australian population grows, housing prices will increase, and demographics will change. The once sacred Australian trophy of the two-storey house on a quarter acre block is soon destined for the nostalgic scrapheap as pragmatism, economics and changing demographics call for new solutions.
Medium density, multipurpose
In this evolving space of tomorrow we will learn to combine work and living spaces as we increasingly shift away from detached living to multipurpose medium-density developments. You’ll see more semi-detached, row style houses and apartments, predominantly 4 – 6 stories high, in mixed-purpose buildings (shops, offices and residences).
We will see more multi-generational homes being built to house family members, including those that will routinely live up to 120 years of age. More young adults will live at home longer, more generations will live together under one roof, and many other co-habiting models will begin to become more commonplace.
Rise of the home office
The notion of work is also up for change as we move away from a centralised 9 – 5 workplace and instead increasingly decentralise working to where and when it is appropriate. This will often be relocated from a city office to a home base.
Robo-cars and their effect on homes
Add to this our changing transportation landscape, the arrival of autonomous cars in 2025 and the shared car phenomenon and we have a very different view of where we might work, how we might travel and the repositioning of our home as the epicentre of the family and our lives. Our living spaces will become smaller, and more dynamic, capable of physically and digitally changing from a bedroom, to an office, to a lounge room in a split second. This won’t be done by us physically moving furniture around, but rather through technology changing the digital environment and furniture moving itself.
Internet of things
Say goodbye to the administrative tasks that currently take up a great deal of time, leaving people more time to focus on more productive activities. “The internet of things will digitally connect up all our objects, devices, wearable tech and possessions to make each aware of the other, so together they can deliver our experiences and needs.” Big Data and Artificial Intelligence will quietly sit behind the scenes and monitor our homes, our lives and our world, sifting through this vast ocean of continuously growing information, bringing back what we need to know and making decisions on our behalf.
Imagine walking through properties that don’t exist. Virtual touring properties will become the norm, not the exception, for properties that both exist and are under construction. “Virtual and Augmented Reality are also set for mainstream usage as they afford us the opportunity to extend or alter our physical world to see and experience what is not yet real,” Miselowski says. “They will be the must have, can’t-live-without tools and are only the tip of the iceberg of what’s ahead.
You might have heard about how one day your home appliances will work autonomously, communicate with each other and predict your needs. But exactly how far from actuality is this level of technology?
Futurist Morris Miselowski believes smart technologies, commonly referred to as the Internet of Things (IoT), will have “mainstream acceptance” and ubiquity within the next decade.
“We’ve had [IoT technology] in science fiction for 100 years. It’s always been implied that at some point technology will be able to understand itself and will be able to do things for us without us having to ask.”
Morris has 34 years’ experience consulting to companies looking to understand the scope of technological possibilities.
“My conversations have always been about tomorrow,” he says.
Morris expects IoT will be in many people’s homes within the next decade.
“The connected home will have all of its usual objects but they will all be orchestrated. Our technology will be able to manage our home without us being there or even when we are there, in advance of us knowing we need it.”
He acknowledges that even though IoT devices are already available around the world, the prevalence of these technologies will only increase once they are more affordable to buy, install and run.
“You’d have to have serious money at the moment [to connect your [whole] home [to IoT].”
Companies are investing heavily in Internet of Things technologies
Companies that are heavily investing in developing IoT excite Morris.
“Samsung, Toshiba, Sony, all the major manufacturers we know in retail are all pushing and believing in this space. Samsung invested $100 million at the beginning of this year [in IoT],” he says.
“Target US launched a 3500-square store in San Francisco solely dedicated to the IoT. It’s a showcasing opportunity with a few bits and pieces that can be bought, but they believe strongly this will be a huge part of their business moving forward.”
“Sony also announced one of the reasons they’re staying in smartphones is purely for the IoT. They believe the phone will be one of the central conduits.”
He says it’s surprising that companies who are less involved in IoT product development, like Apple, are the brands people most associate with the technology.
“There was a recent report by ThroughTek – they surveyed 1157 US adults and what I found unbelievable was that they found 48 per cent of those people believe Apple was at the forefront of IoT, when in fact Apple has very little to do with this technology whatsoever.”
“Google, which has the largest [stake in IoT] at this stage, has only 13 per cent of mindshare.”
Internet of Things will change the way we live and communicate
Morris says there is a current resistance – a “cringe factor” – to supposedly “give up” human autonomy to technology.
But he believes once IoT becomes immersed within our homes, workplaces and retail interactions, we will struggle to remember an existence without it.
“If the IoT lives up to its promises, most of us will wonder how we lived without it.”
And the acceptance of IoT into our lives will change society.
“It’s not just about machines. It really does begin to change who we are human beings, how we interact with one another and what experiences we have.”
We’re expecting 1 billion more humans over the next few decades, alongside a rise in the middle class from the current 2 billion to 4 billion in 2030 and a society that insists on live longer healthier lives.
These are all great things, but they are based on the ability for us to feed, house, clothe, educate and employ this growing band of people and in this weeks radio segments I explore the future of food to explore whether we will have enough food for everyone, if we do whether the food of 2035 bares any semblance to today’s food and how might we be creating these foods.
Today’s’ reality, according to the UN, is that 30% of all the world’s ice-free land and 14.5% of all greenhouse gasses are used by livestock and that to produce 1 kilo of beef we require 10 kilos of feed, for pork it’s 5 kilos of feed, and chickens its 2.5 kilos of 3 feed.
Given our growing population, our collective growing appetite and a supposed never-ending aspirational desire for protein against a backdrop of less land to grow it on, less water to irrigate the land with and fewer people to farm and tend the land, we seem to have an impossible conundrum, we need to produce much more with much less.
Part of this will come from great innovative farmers, part from increased land efficiency and better use of technologies, but part of this answer may come from a change in diet, with Westerners pallets turning to insects and other non-traditional proteins, and part from a new frontier of lab grown foods.
Lab grown foods are all the rage at the moment with companies like Impossible Foods, Hampton Creek, Beyond Meat and Memphis Meats claiming to have laboratory grown stem cell based replicas of our favourite proteins – beef, chicken and pork available in retail stores by 2020, take a look at some of them…
Pushing the frontier out a little further it’s highly likely that we will see 3D printers like Foodini, that currently boasts its capable of printing these foods:
What we do know is there is a lot of investment dollars going into the Food Tech sector now, a lot of research and a lot of conversations including my chats with HK3’s Phil Whelan and ABC Far North’s Kier Shorey so have a listen now and add your thoughts to this growing (sorry I couldn’t help it) story:
Phil Whelan – Hong Kong Radio 3 – 3rd June 2016 – 15 minutes 14 secs
Kier Shorey – ABC Far North – 6th June 2016 – 7 minutes 13 secs