Living to 120 and working to 90 / Channel 10’s The Project

The crew from Channel 10’s The Project reached out this evening, ahead of a keynote I’m delivering in Adelaide on the weekend on Living to 120 and working into our 90’s and asked if I could take them on a tour of tomorrow in search of what a world where we all have the potential to live to beyond 100 might look like.

Along the way, we explored a tomorrow in which we routinely live to 100 and beyond; asked what jobs if any we might be doing (including my belief that there will be no jobs, as we know them); how we could possibly work until we’re 90; how we might be living; what our homes might look like; how can our superannuation and pensions cope with this new reality; what we need to do now to get ready and what else will be important to our future selves.

Incredible segment, take a look now and then share your hopes, dreams and visions for life in 2025.

 

Crystal ball time: iStart talks with a futurist / iStart

Blockchain this, AI that. Things are moving fast, so, in the interests of bringing you the news before it happens, we cornered Melbourne-based business futurist Morris Miselowski to find out what key technologies are going to change the business landscape, how best to prepare for the future shocks they’re bringing with them and what it all means for our day-to-day 20 years from now.

iStart: Hi Morris. Thanks for taking time to talk to us. From your perspective, what’s the technological lay of the land right now? How would you describe the zeitgeist in a technology sense?

Morris Miselowski: Right now I feel like we are really moving from what I think of as a Wizard of Oz, black and white type scenario into full technicolor. We’ve spent the last 30 years laying down the pipes and getting to terms with what this new digital space is, doing the ‘oohs’ and ‘ahhs’, but I don’t think we’ve used technology in a particularly purposefully way yet. It just hasn’t been very human-centric. So I think we’re on the cusp of something huge.

You’ve been in the prediction game for a while now. What’s changed?
‘Im seeing a very different landscape emerging for the first time in about 20 years, a landscape where technology is pushing back into the realm of the human-centric. It’s a fascinating conversation and one more people are willing to have. For the last 20 years all people wanted to talk about was the tech toys. Now the conversation is becoming about humanity and how humanity can use these tools more purposefully.

So this is part of a shift from a focus on tech to more of a focus on outcomes?
Yes. And in the next ten years we’re going to move forward 100 years in technology, but more extraordinarily, in the next 100 years we’re going to move forward a thousand years in terms of human evolution. This is going to be the biggest change we’ve ever seen.

How do you see that evolution playing out in industry?
So the nature of work is the big conversation of late. What’s changing is that we’re finally pushing past the industrial revolution, with the way we look at work is changing to a more human-centric view. There’s that word again.

A lot of the work we’ve done over the past 100 years has been repetitive, insular work; one task turned into a job for one person for life. Now we’re finding that we no longer need to look at things like that because we have technology that can recreate much of that human physical activity, picking up things, moving things, packing things. The big shift is now we’re finding ways of doing the heavy lifting of thinking.

And that brings up the spectre of displacement, right?
Well what have traditionally been called white collar jobs are now starting to disappear and many of the people that have those jobs have not foreseen this new horizon. So we’re now starting to see the work of accountants, bookkeepers and lawyers – all of those venerable jobs which have previously been considered as sacrosanct – being challenged by artificial intelligence.

But we’re also seeing the nature of work itself evolve to no longer requiring a person to be at a job at a particular time and place. Work can instead happen when and where appropriate. We’re moving to a ‘no collar’ situation, where the task dictates how and where it is done and technology is the backdrop that’s allowing that to happen.

Some things will always need the human touch though, right? People still hate chatbots, don’t they?
Many customers do report a dislike or a fear of chatbots, but many of them will have actually used a chatbot recently without even having known it. That fear is similar to how many people felt 15 years ago when we started to talking about online banking: ‘Oh, it will never happen; not in my lifetime; I’m not doing it’. Now close to 90 percent of all retail transactions in Australia and New Zealand are done online and we don’t give two thoughts to it. And the thought of standing in a queue in physical bank makes our stomach turn.

At the moment chatbot technology may be a little immature, a little cumbersome, but they are also the next step in our evolution in this space. We’ve had keyboards, we’ve had the mouse, but where are the other great interaction tools?

What we’re moving to now is more a human interface, that speaks and understands in a way close to our natural language. It guesses, hypotheses, figures out what we want or the meaning behind a question and gives us that answer. We, as humans, want that. We like it when things do things for us.

And we’ve got to touch on Blockchain.
Blockchain is another one of those things that has a bit of a scare factor, with most people not really aware of what it does. They think of it as cryptocurrency, or a new form of the New Zealand or Australian dollar, but it’s so much more than that – it’s the new digital backdrop of business. It will ensure things – money transfers, titles, things of value – are done with more honesty and transparency and truth.

It’s a brand new space that doesn’t have many rules or regulations at this stage and doesn’t have a clear player, so it opens up a horizon of huge possibilities. It’s going to change the face of so many industries.

I’m detecting an ever so slight hint of optimism in the way you think about these things…
I am an optimist about the future, but it’s not Pollyanna stuff. My mindset is this: technology is always benign, it has an off switch and where it doesn’t, get a brick and smash it.

And I don’t think technology is, on its own, the answer. What scares me is humanity’s use of technology. What we’re doing, as we always have, is evolving technologies that can be used for good or evil. AI is a great example of that. It really has that possibility of being used in all sorts of spaces where we would not, as humans, wish it to be, but, on the other hand, it has so many possibilities that I think we need to get welcome it.

So how does industry actually prepare for the challenges we face? Is there a roadmap?
The landscape is changing. Notions around work are changing, what it means to be a human, how we live together as families, all of these things are changing irrevocably, and we are not really ready for that.

So it has to come back to leadership, and here I’m talking to CEOs, CIOs, anyone from the C-suite. Leadership is of vital importance. We need to redefine what leadership is, because the workforce of tomorrow, and what that might look like, is a huge question.

What’s important in this space is to get to the core of who we are as a business and many businesses are not really able to define that. It’s not something you can answer with a product or a service or a mission statement.

But once you do have an idea, you can begin to evolve, and you can start looking for the technologies ahead that are going to be important to you.

Published on the 17/08/2017 | Written by Jonathan Cotton

My beautiful future career / ABC Far North, ABC WA Drive, Hong Kong 3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The world has conspired this week to make most of my on stage and on air conversations Education focused.

Tomorrow I have the honour of speaking to a group of year 9 -12 students at one of Melbourne’s State Schools about all things careers, the jobs they may be doing and the way they may be working – truly can’t wait and even better, this is a full day program put together by a  couple of Year 12 students who invited the other local schools to come along – well done!

On Thursday I take my quest to Higher Education, when I address a group of Sydney’s elite higher education providers and look at the future of higher education and explain why universities will be soon be selling their land holdings and why the emphasis of tertiary qualifications has to global, just in time, just for me and just enough and develop more of the human traits than the industry ones, more on both of these later in the week.

So having designated this Education week, I’ve spilled the topic into many of my regular on air chats as we explored Kindergarten to Death education, what it is, why we do, what we won’t do anymore and what we must do instead.

Such an important conversation, I’ love you to have a listen to any of the interviews below and then share your thoughts on the Future of Education and if you’re up to it join me on air on Wednesday night (2nd August 2017) at 10 p.m. on ABC Radio as Nightlife’s Phil Clark and I chat our way through the Future of Education and take callers thoughts on where they see it all heading.

Kier Shorey, ABC Far North Monday 31st July (14 mins 52 sec)


Barry Nichols, ABC WA Regional Drive (8 mins 49 sec)

Phil Whelan, Hong Kong Radio 3 (16 mins 53 sec)

The Pace of Change / ABC Mornings with Jon Faine

We’ve just discovered a new piece of tech, a new app, a new fad, a new business proposition, a new idea or a new gadget and we think we’ve come to terms with it, when out of left field another new something comes along and blows us out of the water.

This was the starting point for a conversation with ABC Melbourne’s Morning presenter  Jon Faine as we explored all things future, including my belief that the rate of change has not increased just the amount of parallel technologies that we have to tame simultaneously have and that we are all now Homo Cyborg’s irrevocably tied to technology through things we carry on us, have around us and increasingly inside of us.

A fascinating conversation, well worth a listen (9 minutes 16 secs)

Report suggests robots could replace humans in high-routine occupations / ABC PM report

If you’re an accountant, lawyer or data analyst, a robot may soon take over your job.

A new report from the International Bar Association suggests machines will most likely replace humans in high-routine occupations. The authors suggest governments introduce human quotas in some sectors to protect jobs.

Featured:
Morris Miselowski , Business Futurist
Toby Walsh, Professor of artificial intelligence, UNSW

Zoe Ferguson reported this story on ABC PM with Mark Colvin on Tuesday, April 4, 2017

Lawyers, accountants join list of workers who could lose their jobs to AI / News ABC

By Zoe Ferguson

If you’re an accountant, lawyer or data analyst, a robot may soon take over your job.

Key points:

  • New development of AI and robotics affects both blue and white collar sector
  • Life could be safer with artificial intelligence around us
  • Report recommends a ‘human quota’ in sectors
  • Legislation needed to protect human safety and security

A new report from the International Bar Association suggests machines will most likely replace humans in high-routine occupations.

The authors have suggested that governments introduce human quotas in some sectors in order to protect jobs.

Gerlind Wisskirchen, a lawyer for labour and employment law, coordinated the study, which started one-and-a-half years ago.

“We thought it’d just be an insight into the world of automation and blue collar sector,” she said.

“This topic has picked up speed tremendously and you can see it everywhere and read it every day. It’s a hot topic now.”

Which jobs will we lose out to the robots?

The report suggests that the jobs at risk are high-routine ones, such as accounting and lawyers.

Financial services are more at risk than legal roles though, as algorithms are easier for a computer to synthesise when compared to maintaining client relationships and drafting new legislature.

Simple physical and manual work is also in the firing line, the authors estimate.

The future of work and job security is questionable for some, regardless of whether artificial intelligence will outperform humans.

For business futurist Morris Miselowski, job shortages will be a reality in the future.

“I’m not absolutely convinced we will have enough work for everybody on this planet within 30 years anyway,” he said.

“We’re heading towards a population of 7 billion to 10 billion.

“I’m not convinced that work as we understand it, this nine-to-five, Monday to Friday, is sustainable for many of us for the next couple of decades.”

He forecasted that the biggest changes would be a shift away from the traditional work schedule.

“I think the internet will in many ways disappear… it’ll just become as electricity or gas, we’ll take it for granted.

“Artificial intelligence… and all sorts of new technologies are just literally on the horizon, all of that’s going to change where, how and when we do work.”

Ms Wisskirchen was surprised by how far-reaching the effects of automation are.

“Even though automation begun 30 years ago in the blue-collar sector, the new development of artificial intelligence and robotics affects not just blue collar, but the white-collar sector,” Ms Wisskirchen.

“You can see that when you see jobs that will be replaced by algorithms or robots depending on the sector.”

Need to learn to work with robots, not against them

If technology continues to advance at the pace it has been, Ms Wisskirchen points out the legislation needs to keep up with it to protect human safety and security.

Because currently, it’s difficult to answer the question of who is responsible if someone is hit by a driverless car — is it the manufacturer, the owner, or the person who got hit?

“There is an increasing gap between legislation in field of employment and labour law and reality,” she said.

“The business world is leaping ahead in huge leaps and disruptive business models, while legislators are inching forward incrementally.

“This huge gap makes it difficult for the business world and practitioners to deal with.”

The report has recommended some methods to mitigate human job losses, including a type of ‘human quota’ in any sector, introducing ‘made by humans’ label or a tax for the use of machines.

But for Professor Miselowski, setting up human and computer ratios in the workplace would be impractical.

“We want to maintain human employment for as long as possible, but I don’t see it as practical or pragmatic in the long-term,” he said.

“Some jobs are better done by people and some are better done by machines.

“I prefer what I call a trans-humanist world, where what we do is we learn to work alongside machines the same way we have with computers and calculators.

“Because these machines, artificial intelligence, are really no more than a calculator or some other piece of equipment, so we really need to learn to work with them not against them.

“To me that makes more sense than putting quotas in place.”

The ability to negate fear and be optimistic about the future is important, according to Ms Wisskirchen.

“It’s just something that is going to happen, or has already started to happen,” she said.

“And we need to make the best out of it, but we need to think ahead and be very thoughtful in how we shape society in the future — and that’s I think a challenge for everybody.

“Nobody should shut down his or her ears of what’s coming, but think ahead and try to find solutions. “

Will artificial intelligence make life safer?

Toby Walsh, professor of Artificial Intelligence at UNSW, said there was a silver lining when it came to technology and the future of jobs.

“It’s always good to remember that although technology will take jobs away as they raise in this report, there will also be new jobs created by technology,” he said.

“In fact if we look at the history of technology since the Industrial Revolution, more jobs have been created than destroyed,” he said.

“We don’t know if that’s going to be the case this time, there’s no fundamental law of economics that requires that to be.

“And there are worrying trends out there that suggest this might be a bit different, because many of our skills will be taken away, our cognitive skills — perhaps the last skill left to us.”

But Professor Walsh pointed out that life could be safer with artificial intelligence around us.

“If we look at for example autonomous cars: 1,000 people will die on the roads of Australia in the next year in road traffic accidents,” he said.

“More than 95 per cent of those are caused by driver error.

“So as soon as we can get humans out of the loop, the much safer our roads are going to be and that carnage will stop.”

Not Humans vs. Robots, but Humans & Robots / AICCWA Perth Keynote, slidedeck and audio

AICC(WA)’s ECU futureNOW Sundowner Event, 27 April 2016 at GHD Perth, featuring Business Futurist, Morris Miselowski – my slidedeck and recording of this keynote are at the bottom of this post.

GHD’s new state of the art facilities provided the perfect setting for the first AICC(WA) futureNOW series presentation of 2016.  Mr Morris Miselowski, world renowned business futurist, innovation provocateur and media commentator addressed the topic “People vs Technology, Who Will Win?

Mr Craig Walkemeyer, Manager – Western Australia, GHD

In welcoming attendees, Mr Craig Walkemeyer, Manager WA, GHD spoke of the innovation focus of GHD, and in particular of the Smart Seeds initiative.   Smart Seeds is an annual innovation program for young professionals focused on generating fresh ideas to solve complex infrastructure challenges.  Hosted for the first time in Perth, Smart Seeds is developing solutions including water sensitivity, connecting people to places, off- grid infrastructure for Perth airport and improving the livability of Perth City.

The keynote speaker was introduced by sponsor Professor Margaret Jones, Director, Office of Research and Innovation at ECU.  Professor Jones also discussed the ECU and cross-academic sector initiatives to collaborate with advanced Doctoral students promoting innovation.  ECU is a young university promoting advanced scientific and technological disciplines, including a world renowned cyber security research institute.

Professor Margaret Jones, Director, Office of Research and Innovation, Edith Cowan University

Professor Jones introduced Morris Miselowski noting his reputation as the “swiss army knife of futurists” and “the secret weapon future proofing business”.  Mr Miselowski works with CEO’s and Boards across the world to guide creative foresight strategy development.  Immediately challenging his audience, Mr Miselowski qualified that real change is driven by people and not technology.  Demonstrating how three decades of technological change has impacted the way we communicate, work, shop, live and love, he posited that all we have really done is put the infrastructure, culture and thinking together to improve lifestyle.  It is however the pace of change moving forward that we need to better prepare for.

So too, organisations have changed.  The company lifespan of and S&P listing has decreased from 60 years to 20 years, and is predicted to further decrease to 12 years.  In the meanwhile, the world is growing “unicorns” defined as companies that obtain $1billion capitalisation within 3 years.  Some achieve $10billion.

Mr Morris Miselowski

The corporate sector is now devolving its view of project driven automation.  “Robots will never take over” said Mr Miselowski, “We will simply look for further ways to transition from manual to creative work. Robots will take physical jobs, but human nature is supplementary to this”.  He cited that although 500,000 to 600,000 jobs in Australia have already been replaced by technology, a further 2 million new jobs have been created in more advanced industry settings.

            From L to R: Professor John Finlay-Jones, Deputy Vice-Chancellor Research, Edith Cowan University, Mr Craig Walkemeyer, Manager – Western Australia, GHD, Mr John Cluer, Chief Executive, Australia-Israel Chamber of Commerce (WA), Mr Morris Miselowski, Professor Margaret Jones, Director, Office of Research and Innovation, Edith Cowan University, Mr Larry Lopez, Vice-president, AICC(WA) and Partner, Australian Venture Consultants

Mr Miselowski shared some examples of this process, including;

  • Further evolvement of 3d printing that will become a domestic norm that decentralises all forms of manufacturing
  • Reshoring via robotics that return production to its source by undercutting human labor costs.
  • Drones, including those that do what humans have not, cannot, or should not be able to do
  • Self driving cars and new modes of transportation with global distribution reach
  • Rehabilitation and life science medical technology.  Medicine will no longer be invasive with bots that are frontiers for medical diagnosis living inside of us.
  • Transfer of information through wearable technology (the Internet of Things).  We are already providing information about where we are and what we need and our activities are being digitised.

As the next frontier Mr Miselowski talked about moves towards Artificial Intelligence, and our role in writing the narrative by questioning, arguing and providing intuition and wisdom to this process.  He noted it was about outputs not inputs, and that Artisanal Wisdom will allow us to create jobs that are the products of technological evolvement.  He does not fear a loss of human control over technology.

Citing Israel as on of the leading places with the intent and purpose to produce the technology that will allow “humans to win”, Mr Miselowski noted that Israel is a microcosm of the culture that embraces a necessary conversation about our future development and prosperity.

Mr Morris Miselowski

A fascinating dialogue followed Mr Miselowski’s presentation.  When asked how our universities will prepare more futurists, he cited communication (soft skills and wisdom), creativity (developing students who will make jobs as opposed to get jobs) and community (working in tribes) as the key areas of focus.  When asked how to ensure we are not overwhelmed by the pace of growth he commented that “technology is a dumb tool but we are even dumber if we let it control us.  We still need to know how to turn technology off and be human.”

and here’s my slidedeck:

Why the world will be better in Gen Y’s hands / News.com.au

475dd8d2f0a65e0c18196a87ccbc417f –

written by Emma Reynolds news.com.au

THEY’RE derided as lazy and selfish, but it turns out we may be better off when millennials run the world.

While Gen Y has been called materialistic, entitled and uncaring, increasingly experts claim the exact opposite is the case.

As “Generation Me” grows up and takes control of our governments and biggest organisations, they are adapting to be ideal leaders, The Economist reported recently.

They switch jobs constantly not because they are overprivileged, but because work structure is flexible, they leave the office early because they can be productive at home and they refuse to do as they are told because they care about new ideas.

LIBERAL THINKING

Millennials, on the whole, don’t question the concept of rights for women, gay and transgender people, that climate change is a reality or that every race is equal.

Their focus as leaders will be less on arguing a point than doing something about it. “One shift is wanting to create a better world,” prominent futurist Ross Dawson told news.com.au. “It’s exceptionally difficult to hire talented young people if they don’t feel their work is making a positive difference. Social enterprise and innovation is very apparent in Silicon Valley but also in Australia.”

Whether it’s Uber-style car sharing, distributing restaurant leftovers to the homeless or creating forums for marginalised groups, there is a sense that far more is possible.

With a global perspective, they may even be warier of going to war, The Economist suggests, although Dr Dawson warned that there are “some fundamental aspects of humanity” and we are “in the process of discovering what will change”.

Millennial leaders have a social conscience, like Nobel Peace Prize laureate Malala Yousafzai.

 

FAST AND FLEXIBLE

Younger generations are always accused of impatience and short attention spans, and that’s only amplified by our frenetic world, says Dr Dawson. But impatience doesn’t have to be a bad thing. “It can make things faster and better.”

Baby Boomers and even Generation X have a far slower and more cautious attitude to change than connected, purposeful Gen Y.

Business futurist Morris Miselowski told news.com.au: “They won’t agree to something until there’s a strong case for the likelihood of its success.

“Traditionally, Baby Boomers only had one or two ‘horizon technologies’ — fax, radio, TV. It would take a long time for things to be ingested and become fashionable, ordinary, respectable.

“Now people are working with all social media and have an ability to make decisions quicker based on more opportunities.

“We have robots on our doorstep, new horizon spaces and something I find joyful is what I call the ‘Wild West’ of business. It’s so unknown, There are millions of different spaces for the young, entrepreneurial and proactive.”

For Gen Y, the idea of the 9-5 day is over — work can take place anywhere, anytime. This gives them a more fluid approach to the work/life balance, a bonus since they will be living longer lives and spending more years in the workforce.

Staff won’t need to travel in rush hour so traffic will lessen and activities can be spread over the week. “Their mindset goes far beyond the geographical,” said Mr Miselowski.

Open-minded millennials could make our world one big Glee club.

 

GLOBAL ENTREPRENEURS

“[Millennials] are meritocratic, want to be experts in their field, and want to work with and be mentored by experts,” Jane McNeill, director of recruiting experts Hays, told news.com.au.

“This will help them reach their career goals and in turn make genuine improvements to their world of work.

“Given that they are more open to new ideas, they will also be able to cope well with a globalised world of work that is changing rapidly.”

People born between 1981 and 1997 are more often bilingual or want to work overseas at some point in their career, added Ms McNeill.

As many as 70 per cent have their own business or want to have one in the future.

If Gen Y seems demanding, that’s because “they rate interesting work before personal wealth” and “they want to feel valued and appreciated”.

“They are also entering the workforce as more confident communicators who can contribute to group discussions and share their ideas because they are used to having an opinion and adding their voice to discussions on social media from a young age,” said Ms McNeill.

Garry Adams, Mercer’s talent business leader for the Pacific, told news.com.au: “They travel a lot more than we did and are more open to global influences, which are strong positives.

“The dominant pattern was being an employee in a corporate environment, now there’s a greater range of choices. There’s a focus on operating with a greater sense of social purpose and sustainability.

“This generation has an extraordinary potential and a sense of moving forward, that they don’t want to replicate their parents’ mistakes or live in a world created for them. They want to do things differently.”

And if Generation X and Baby Boomers are feeling devalued by the prediction that Gen Y will run things better, Dr Dawson explains we are all shifting to become like millennials.

“It’s important to recognise that people of all ages are changing their attitudes to work, organisations and their role in society and the environment,” he said.

“Social attitudes are shifting across all generations.”

Welcome to the world of the millennials.

1/2 of today’s kinder kids will be unemployable in 2030 / 3AW, 6PR, 2UE, 4BC, ABC Overnights, Austereo, ABC Far Nth Qld

images The Future of Education is such an important topic if we are going to set our kids up to succeed in tomorrow’s world and workplace and I’m glad to see the media agrees. Here are some of the radio interviews I did on the back of this recent media release including an extended piece for ABC local radio’s Overnight program with listener talk back :


“Half of all children starting kindergarten this year have no chance of getting a job in 2030, if we continue to educate them the way we currently are” is one of the findings in a new bold trend report exploring the world of work in 2030 compiled by Australian futurist, Morris Miselowski, one of the world’s leading business and education visionaries.

In 2030, 1 in 4 cars sold will be fully autonomous. Robots, Artificial Intelligence, Drones and Connected Cities will all be as ordinary as gas, electricity and water. Mobile phones, keyboards and mice will be relegated to museums and the notion of 9 – 5 Monday to Friday work will have given way to project and task-work done however, whenever and wherever it’s appropriate.

In 2030 the Australian population will have grown to 28,481,000 (23,972,800 today), against a global population of 8,500,766 (7,349,472 today). 1 in 5 Australian’s will be over 60 years old; the ratio of workers to retirees will 3:1 (5:1 today); the average Australian house will costs $3,000,000 ($658,608 today) and the average household income will be $275,000 ($145,400 today).

In 2030 India will have surpassed China as the most populous country on the earth; America’s global dominance will have waned and the world’s middle class will have risen from 2.1 billion today to 4.9 billion, 66% of whom will be living in Asia.  It will be an era of lower global birth rates and of living longer and healthier lives.

In 2030 there will be too many human workers competing globally for too few jobs, with many of today’s routine jobs having been handed over to technology and in an ironical twist this new technology will be responsible for creating millions of new human jobs, tasks and careers.

This year’s kinder students will live to 120, work into their 90’s, undertake 2 simultaneous income producing activities at any one time in a lifetime of work that includes 6 careers and 14 jobs, undertaking tasks and working in industries that are yet to be discovered and if they are going to succeed in a 2030 world of work” they will need to create their own work, not apply for it”.

In 2030 Australian retention rates for completing Year 12 will be 90% (83.6% today), but there will no written exams to mark the end of schooling, nor a single university score required to gain entry to higher education.

This is the world our kindergarten starters of 2015 will face when they enter the workforce, and it’s this world of vastly changed horizons that we must prepare them for” says Miselowski.

It will demand different of its workforce, as we see new careers rising including transhumanist designers, genome specialists, nano medics, machine linguists, gamification engineers amongst many others as well as the continuation of many of today’s trades and service careers, but what they do, how, where and when they do it will have all evolved – “nothing then, will be as it is now!” says Miselowski.

Today’s education system however, backed by well-intentioned but short-sighted educators and parents, is still underpinned by an archaic industrial revolution model of teaching dominated by the 3R’s (reading, writing and arithmetic – 2 of which don’t even begin with an “R”) that was right for an era where student outcomes, careers paths and choices industry were well-known.

In 2030 the 3R’s won’t work, they conspire to teach rigidity, uniformity, conformity and compliance. What today’s kindergarten students really need from us is to be inspired by the 3C’s of Collaboration, Creativity and Communication so that they can influence, innovate and change their world ahead.


So have a listen to some of these segments and then add your voice to the future of education:

ABC Overnights – Brad McKenzie – 21st January (31 minutes 44 seconds) – includes listener calls

3AW, 2UE, 4BC – Australia Overnight – Alan Pearsall – 23rd January (12 minutes 05 seconds)

6PR – Chris Isley – Monday 26th January (13 minutes 15 seconds)

ABC Townsville – Michael Clarke – 21 January (10 minutes 17 seconds)

Austereo WA – Anthony Tilli – 28 January (5 minutes 4 seconds)

A glimpse at the way we will live, work and educate in 2030 / Peter Switzer Sky News TV, ABC Far North

switzer Every year, as our newest school kids start kindergarten, I like to take an expectant look forward to the year that many of them may enter the workforce, so welcome to 2030 when:

Australia

  • Australian population will have grown to 28,481,000 (23,972,800 today)
  • 1 in 5 Australian’s will be over 60 years old
  • the ratio of workers to retirees will be 3:1 (5:1 today)
  • the average Australian house will cost $3,000,000 ($658,608 today)
  • the average household income will be $275,000 ($145,400 today).

Global

  • global population will be 8,500,766 (7,349,472 today)
  • India will have surpassed China as the most populous country on the earth
  • America’s global dominance will have waned
  • the world’s middle class will have risen from  4.9 billion (2.1 billion today)
  • 66% of the new middle class will be living in Asia
  • lower global birth rates
  • life expectancy increases
  • healthier lives

 

Education index

  • Australian retention rates for completing Year 12 will be 90% (83.6% today)
  • There will no written exams to mark the end of schooling, nor a single university score required to gain entry to higher education
  • Learning institutions will be hubs, bringing together students, educators, industry and others to provide learning opportunities
  • There will be an increased emphasis on global qualifications
  • Universities and higher education will be vastly different, offering bespoke one-off qualifications and a mixture of modalities and physical and virtual opportunities to study
  • Nano-degrees will exist to teach, assess and accredit specific one-off skills learnt in real-time as, where and when needed will be the norm
  • Students work, understanding and proficiency will be monitored and assisted in real-time by LMS (Learning Management Systems) that will 24/7 assist human classroom teachers, providing unique instructions, examples and assessment for each student

Technology

  • 1 in 4 cars sold will be fully autonomous
  • Robots, Artificial Intelligence, Drones and Connected Cities will all be as ordinary as gas, electricity and water.
  • Mobile phones, keyboards and mice will be relegated to museums

Employment

  • there will be too many human workers competing globally for too few jobs
  • 9 – 5 Monday to Friday work will have given way to project and task-work done however, whenever and wherever it’s appropriate
  • many of today’s routine jobs will have been handed over to technology
  • in an ironical twist this new technology will be responsible for creating millions of new human jobs, tasks, careers and industries.

Life

  • This year’s kinder students will live to 120
  • work into their 90’s
  • undertake 2 simultaneous income producing activities, or more, at any one time
  • have 6 careers and 14 jobs
  • complete tasks and work in industries that are yet to be discovered
  • will need to create their own work, not apply for it

These were just some of the insights that James Daggar-Nickson host of Peter Switzer’s Sky Business TV and I chatted about, as well as the economic, political and human ramifications of this new world that is only 15 years away and Phil Staley of ABC Radio’s Far North Queensland and I picked up in our next regular on-air catch up.

Watch this TV segment (recorded 25th January 2016) and / or listen to the radio interview below (recorded 1st February 2016) and then add your thoughts to what we may see in 2030.

Listen to the interview with Phil Staley ABC Radio Far North – 1st February 2016 (19 minutes 22 seconds)