The new economic normal, 3 Australian state elections, peek a boo panels in women’s fashion, 364,997 new Australians added to our population and super-foods freekah and teff were just some of the 2014 trends I chatted about with Kate O’Toole of ABC Local radio national in our look at what trends I have predicted for the year ahead.
In this extended interview Kate and I worked our way through the changing business landscape of entrepreneurs and intrapreneurs – internal and external business champions, innovation hubs that foster and encourage community and crowd businesses allowing us to form joint ventures and temporary business relationships with others as required to take advantage of a burgeoning sharing and collaboration culture.
Synthetic thinking and thought metamorphosis also gained air-time as we looked at the growing role our mobile devices and apps are going to have in sorting out what’s important to us and bringing that information in real time to a screen near us.
Health and wellness also sparked interest with listeners as we explored the shift away from a repair mentality with healthcare to a wellness culture where we will become increasingly responsible for our own health care monitoring as we evolve into an era wear a combination of changing culture, increased medical awareness and intervention possibilities and wearable devices that monitor our vital signs ongoing will provide us with personalised health insights, health suggestions and the motivation with which to action it.
This brave new world is of course not yet in existence and because we can is not a good enough reason to bring anything to reality, we must take control and ensure that we steer these horizon trends down a purposeful and human-centric path.
Thanks to all the ABC listeners, talk back callers and to the many new subscribers that have come on board since this interview, here’s wishing you all a most incredible 2014, may it exceed all of your expectations of it!!
Have a listen to the segment now (46 minutes) and share your 2014 predictions with me.
To have the TEDx stage for 18 minutes is a privilege and an honor. To use this global platform to tell the story of my family’s past, to introduce my ancestors who have not been spoken of or seen in over 70 years to a worldwide audience that they could never have imagined and to combine all of this with my love of the infinite possibilities of the future and what we must each do to allow these opportunities into our lives is a gift that I will cherish forever – thank you!!
I would love you to watch it, like it and leave a comment to let me know what you see ahead and what excess baggage you’re leaving behind to make room for the future and an enormous thank you to the 1,000+ people that watched it within the first 24 hours of it being put up on YouTube.
A look ahead to the new normal of 2013, the rise of apps and mobile technology, objects coming to virtual life and social media losing its shine but not its purpose are some of my business trends for 2013 that Belinda King of ABC Northern Tasmania and I chatted about in our semi regular spot.
Have a listen now:
Here is my annual look ahead to 2013 from a Consumers viewpoint:
2013 is going to be a year of nostalgia, consolidation and innovation.
The world will increasingly become jaded with social media as it evolves to become as ordinary and mundane as the phone and fax machines of old.
The past few years of angst and trepidation have spurred next year’s response to offer us a year of where we will return to simpler time with a most modern twist.
This will be evident in the foods we will eat, the colours we will paint our homes, the clothes we will wear, the names we’ll give our children and the technology we will see over the next 12 months that will all pay homage to the past as it reinvents itself for a new tomorrow.
Here are some of the key trends and influences I’m seeing over the horizon that will impact our 2013.
Here’s what we already know about 2013:
Australia’s population will exceed 23 million people (up from today’s 22.84 million).
World population will exceed 7.2 billion (up from today’s 7.08 billion).
We will have a federal Australian election, most probably between August and October, as well as a state election in Western Australia in March.
Australia will withdraw its troops from Afghanistan by December 2013.
Analogue TV will be turned off in Australia on 10th December 2013.
There will be 30.5 million connected mobile handsets in Australia in 2013.
There will be 7.5 billion mobile connected mobile handsets globally in 2013.
China and India will begin their space race in 2013.
What Will We be Eating and Drinking in 2013?
Sharing plates, artisan products, local sourcing and culinary creativity are set to trend up restaurant menus and home kitchens next year with the top ten food predictions being:
1. Locally sourced meats and seafood
2. Locally grown produce
3. Healthy kids’ meals
4. Environmental sustainability as a culinary theme
5. Children’s nutrition as a culinary theme
6. New cuts of meat (e.g. Denver steak, pork flat iron, teres major)
7. Hyper-local sourcing (e.g. restaurant gardens)
8. Gluten-free cuisine
9. Sustainable seafood
10. Whole grain items in kids’ meals
Top 10 drink menu trends for 2013:
1. Onsite barrel-aged drinks
2. Food-liquor/cocktail pairings
3. Culinary cocktails (e.g. savoury, fresh ingredients)
4. Micro-distilled/artisan liquor
5. Locally produced spirits
6. Locally sourced fruit/berries/produce
7. Beer sommeliers/Cicerones
8. Regional signature cocktails
9. Beer-based cocktails
10. Locally produced beer
What will we watch at the Movies in 2013?
Another big blockbuster year for movies in 2013, with lots of safe-bet franchise movies including:
Star Trek Into Darkness; Iron Man 3; The Hunger Games Catching Fire; Thor the Dark World; The Great Gatsby; The Wolverine; Mad Max: Fury Road; The Hangover Part 3; Scary Movie 5
Whilst at home we will see the first 4K and 8K television sets offering even sharper images as well as the short march to second screens where we will watch TV on one large screen and have a second screen – smart phone / tablet – in our hands to engage with all the others watching the show. And watch out for Apple TV in 2013, another ground breaking, must have gadget to add to their stable.
Beyond 2013: Look out for 4D movies making their way into our cinemas with scent and movement as part of the experience
What will Women be wearing in 2013?
Vogue claims ruffles are back with statement ruffles curled over shoulders and wound around bodies, bringing new dimensions to strong silhouettes.
Kimono-inspired shapes and poetic prints call to mind the Far East with everything from silk pyjamas to sheath dresses coming under an Asian influence.
Graphic Content Surface Treatment
The overriding mood for spring/summer is upbeat, joyous even, and mostly evident in the textures, fabrications and embellishments designers will choose to use. Stripes, spots, checks, and flowers will take on bold proportions at the hands of the more adventurous designers.
Designers will embrace the new suit in all its forms; some will opt for a relaxed take, while others will go for oversized proportions, or sculpted and cropped silhouettes.
Micro hemlines, reworked beehives and ladylike accessories are all poised to make a return.
What Colours will we Surround Ourselves with in 2013?
Vintage design, fossicking and gathering, the meeting of old and new, and the rise of new technology are among the key influences that will dominate Australian design over the next 12 months – and with it our choice of colours.
The Dulux Colour Forecast next year draws on the themes of movement, social change, people power and the march of the digital age. It explores how colour is shifting and changing in modern times.
Dulux forecasters have identified six palettes, Merge is warm and earthy. Seek updates vintage shades. Empower’s blue-greens speak of confidence. Relaxing Rise uses a soothing Japanese-inspired aesthetic. Share is monochromatic with metal and stone influences. Blur is bold and daring.
Major colours for 2013 include yellow, pastel hues and the stand out colour will be persimmon.
What will we Name Our Baby’s in 2013?
2013 children’s name will be an apocalyptic mix of wild weather and the gods preferences including names like Winter (used by actress Gretchen Mol on her baby daughter last year) is sounding “fresher” than Summer or Autumn and May and June are being replaced with March and January.
Names of old world gods and goddesses, mythological heroes and leaders like Augustus, Atticus, Persephone, Athena, Juno and Julius, Thor and Maeve are set to dominate birth announcements
The last wave of grandma and grandpa nickname names – Annie and Molly, Ben and Max – will turn to vintage nicknames from the Mad Men era and a new generation of kids with names like Hank and Hal, Ray and Fay, Millie and Monty, are emerging
Middle names are going to be blend of sharp crispy names like Snow, Frost and even the direction North and significant words like Ballerina, Bear, Sweetheart, Seven, Song, Star and Saint.
Morris’s 13 Big Trends for 2013
1. New normal – Our global, regional, national and local issues and economic uncertainties will not disappear in 2013, but what will disappear is our strong reaction to them. Mellowing and resignation are occurring, we know these real and important issues are not going away soon, but we are learning to live with them.
This new sense of normal will bring with it renewed consumer confidence as slowly we replace pessimism with optimism as we reframe our world to accept these variables and make new choices accordingly.
2. Two Degrees of Separation – Now that we’ve all gorged ourselves on social media and proven that we can alter the course of lives, international events and governments with it; stay digitally connected to our ever-growing tribe and ensure we know what’s going on in our purpose-built world 25/8, it’s time to move on to see what else this new digital social glue can do.
Expect 2013 to push the boundaries with new digital social recommendation sites, crowd learning, crowd financing and crowd everything sites coming on-line.
Sites like Kickstarter, indiegogo, and Spacehive allow end users to engage, invest and support new ideas, products and services long before they become a commercial reality. Gigfunder allows you to start a grass-roots movement to get your favourite band to come to town and perform; right through to sites like brickstarter that lets you say Yes In My Backyard by influencing local public service and community based projects and even sites that let you share cars, dresses, handbags, homes and private planes.
3. Bring It All Together – We want everything now and in one place and that’s exactly what we’re going to get. Much of next year’s innovation will take lots of seemingly disconnected bits and pieces of information from lots of different places and put them together into one easy to use and purposeful space.
The new travel apps for instance will give you a true door to door experience, booking your taxi from home; letting you know if the plane is on time; checking you in; informing the hotel how far away you are, checking you into the hotel, and guiding you to your room when you get there, even opening the door for you.
4. The World of Objects are Coming Alive – Near Field Communication (NFC) or a technical thingy that casts a virtual net from your mobile device to digitally connect you to your surroundings. This one has been in the wings for quite a while and we came close to a launch in 2012, but 2013 is make or break time for it and, when it hits, expect to get rid of your physical credit cards and start connecting with everything through that little electronic box in your pocket.
Grocery items, store posters, doors, people, objects and things will all be able to share information with you.
5. Appy days – If you think you’ve seen apps, hold on to your digital screen, because you haven’t seen anything yet. The avalanche of this brave new world is going to be fiercer, stronger and greater than the advent of websites and the World Wide Web.
Every business will eventually have one of this new digital keys to offer their online world as we move at the pace of light to cut the umbilical cord that tethers us to walls and desk bound technology to the freedom of take with you anywhere and everywhere technology.
6. Out With The New And In With The Old (in a new way) – Everything old is new again. In this world of ever-changing “things” we are turning to the past, with a great big dollop of nostalgia, to reinvent what we’ve already had.
Expect social media to become ordinary, for Facebook, Twitter and other online conversations to become less “full on” and for us to become terribly blasé about all of this.
7. Local and national trumps global– Carbon footprints, immediate delivery demands, a growing sense of self entitlement and importance and a strong desire for jingoism and patriotism will all lead us to want to shop as local as we can and to have products that express who we are and not some generic global corporation’s image of what they want us to be.
All these growing influences will rekindle our desire to buy local and national rather than international. All we need to do now is get local retailers both bricks and clicks to play ball and give us what we want.
8. Customer Is God – The days of being spoken down to, of being brushed aside are gone. As consumers we are now increasingly and collectively demanding what we want, where we want it and how we want it, knowing that if this provider can’t do, we can find another who will.
Our sense of entitlement is changing irrevocably. The old and non-connected relationship between manufacturers, suppliers, retailers and customers is gone and will be replaced with a fresh dynamic co-created organic marketplace where everybody is vital and integral if the sale is going to work and the end.
9. Who cares where you’re having coffee! Our social media baby has finally grown up and turned into a pimply teenager. The awkward early adolescent phase where we had to share every first step and toilet training event is over. Social media is here to stay and everybody’s ready to take a deep breath and just get on with using it.
This however is not the end of the social media journey; we still have to turn the teenager into an adult, so expect to see a tonne of new social media life changing platforms, uses and abuses ahead.
10. Right before my eyes – One of the new big must haves next year will be augmented reality glasses. Google Goggles and many other geek provider manufacturers have promised to bring us a set of ordinary eyewear with extraordinary purpose.
These spectacles’ will take information from the World Wide Web, your surroundings and your mobile devices and mash them up to give you a unique, real-time heads-up display complete with images, words, road maps, television and whatever else you want all on the inside of your designer sunglasses.
11. Cash is no longer King – with a growing number of retailers encouraging you to pay for all your transactions large or small using your plastic money (and eventually smart phone based e-wallet) expect to see a less-cash society evolve over the next few years.
12. Print your own Dinner Set – this innovation is the love child of “Star Trek’s Beam Me Up Scotty” and a 1980’s fax machine and makes it totally possible to print in real-time and on demand
one-off pieces of crockery, clothes, shoes, engine spare parts, human organs, building, bikes and kids toys, just to name a few.
This new technology has been around for a while, but get set for its explosive mainstream introduction in 2013 as consumers begin to discover and use 3D printing for their everyday purchases.
By 2020 we’ll look back with amazement at how we ever survived without our home based 3D printer!
13. Look what we’ve done to our world – 2013 will be an introspective year as we slowly start to turn our attention back to the planet, our place in it and the legacy we want to leave behind.
There is a growing global collective consciousness emerging, fanned by transparency and transported by social media, which is ever so slowly reshaping what is important, to whom and by when.
These issues are far-reaching as we grapple with changing our fuel and energy; reworking how we use our land and water; how we feed, clothe and provide meaningful opportunities to over 7.2 billion global inhabitants; how we make better use of medical breakthroughs and the extended life spans they offer, as well as how we might use technology to reshape our work, lives, families, communities and governments.
This morning I kicked off a new regular segment with David Dowsett of ABC Radio’s Wide Bay and what better place to start than at the beginning.
We chatted about the new digital online era, its ramifications and purpose; our new sense of digital entitlement; our evolution into digital thinkers and learners and our new sense of being a global citizen.
John joined us on talkback to ask about whether we were going forwards or backwards with all this easy connection to everything, before we moved on to talk about what social media really is, what it can offer us, who’s using it and for what purpose.
A great chat, wonderful listeners and I’m looking forward to our regular chats long into the Future.
or join us on Wednesday mornings at around 9.35 a.m.
reprinted from Tasmania’s Mercury 18 July 2012
this excerpt comes after my keynote address on the Future of Tourism at Tourism Industry Council Tasmania’s annual conference
TASMANIA’S key tourism body has slammed the State Government for failing to provide adequate funding to promote the industry.
Tourism Industry Council of Tasmania chairman Simon Currant said more needed to be done to stop the decline in visitor numbers.
Mr Currant was speaking to more than 350 tourism operators at the seventh annual Tasmanian Tourism Conference, being held at the Country Club in Launceston today.
Tourism Minister Scott Bacon officially opened the conference this morning and said the State Government had “quarantined” Tourism Tasmania’s marketing funding from recent budget cuts.
But Mr Currant said it wasn’t enough.
“The forward estimates are reducing the expenditure of Tourism Tasmania this year and next year,” he said.
“This has to be arrested; the Government has to invest in this industry.”
Mr Currant said unless the State Government increased funding for the state’s peak tourism marketing body, there would be job losses in the industry.
He said this was despite the fact that Tasmania had a strong tourism product, as shown by five wins at the Australian Tourism Awards earlier this year.
“(The tourism industry) offers the answer for our state,” he said.
“We’ve got a natural asset here that everyone wants. We’ve got to tell people about it.”
But the state’s share of the national domestic tourism market was slipping.
Mr Currant said the number of visitors from Melbourne — traditionally Tasmania’s core visitor market — was dropping drastically.
Despite this, Mr Currant said operators should be “optimistic” about the future and invest in ways to improve the state’s tourism product.
Business futurist Morris Miselowski was the keynote speaker at the conference this morning.
He urged operators to harness the benefits of social media for their businesses.
Mr Miselowski said it was not enough for operators to rely solely on the marketing initiatives of Tourism Tasmania.
He said operators need to embrace new technologies and have a presence on social media sites such as Facebook, Pintrest and Tumblr.
TICT chief executive Luke Martin said the sites offered “unique and creative marketing options” for operators constrained by small advertising budgets.
“People have to be responsible for their own business and look at it as part of their own marketing activities,” Mr Martin said.
“It’s no different from the past where you look at buying an advertisement or paying for marketing information in a booklet.”
He said workshops at the conference aimed to lift the skills of operators across the industry.
On my return visit to SELLEN (South East Local Learning & Employment Network) I discussed what I see ahead for business over the next 5 -10 years and got to overview the social media phenomenon, what it is, how to make sense of it, how to “do it”, how to make money out of it and how others are doing it.
Sit back and listen to this live unedited 1 hour 22 minute presentation and question time (the audio file below takes about 1 minute to load up before it starts – so it’s not you, it’s the computer – but as they say all good things come to he (or she) who waits).
In their regular weekly segment Denis and Morris discuss social media, twitter, the fact that 1 minute in every 10 spent on line is now spent on a social networking site and social networking is larger on line than emails and take callers questions. Recorded live 11 March 09.